Months after the Kenyan banking industry financial health was in crisis, we can now tell from Q1 2016 Cytonn Banking Report which banks are now stable and healthier.
According to the report KCB Group emerged top in Q1’2016 Cytonn Banking Report, supported by a strong franchise and intrinsic value score while National Bank was ranked the lowest, ranking lowest in both franchise and intrinsic value score.
Equity Group emerged second, followed by Co-operative Bank of Kenya, with Barclays Bank of Kenya emerging fourth, and I&M Bank ranked fifth.
Diamond Trust Bank declined three positions to position …6, mainly as a result of a drop in franchise ranking due to lower Return on Equity of 16.0%, compared to the industry average of 18.6%. It also ranked poorly in revenue diversification with Non Interest Income to Total Revenue of 20.5%, against an industry average of 28.7%. CfC Stanbic declined three positions to position 9, affected by both poor franchise and total return score.
Ranking By Franchise Value
Image Courtesy: Cytonn Investments
The low franchise score was due to a low Net Interest Margin of 5.3% against an industry average of 8.3%.
FUTURE PERFORMANCE
The report themed ‘Transition continues, to a new and different landscape’analyzed all listed banks in the Kenyan market so as to recommend to investors which banks are the most stable from a franchise value and future growth opportunity perspective.
“The analysis covers the health and future performance of the financial institution, by highlighting their performance using… metrics that measure profitability, efficiency, growth, asset quality, liquidity, revenue diversification, capitalization and intrinsic valuation. The overall ranking was based on a weighted average ranking of Franchise value (accounting for 40%) and Intrinsic value (accounting for 60%),” said Elizabeth Nkukuu, Cytonn’s Chief Investment Officer.
Ranking By Intrinsic Value
Image Courtesy: Cytonn Investments
Banking sector in Kenya experienced growth in Q1’2016 in assets, deposits, profitability and products offering, and this was supported by increased use of alternative channels of distribution and the favourable macroeconomic environment.
AGGREGATE GROSS LOANS
The listed banks aggregate gross loans and advances grew by 14.6% to Kshs. 1.7 trillion in March 2016 from Kshs. 1.5 trillion in March 2015 while deposits grew by 11.5% to Kshs. 2.0 trillion in March 2016 from Kshs 1.8 trillion in March 2015.
Total assets grew by 10.5% in March 2016 to Kshs 2.8 trillion, from Kshs 2.5 trillion in March 2015. Since 2010, deposits have grown at a CAGR of 15.1%, with loans and advances having grown faster than deposit at a CAGR of 18.7%.
Composite Bank Ranking, Image Courtesy; Cytonn Investments
For Q1’2016, listed banks recorded a core earnings growth of 13.5% compared to 8.6% in Q1’2015 as a result of improved economic conditions in the country.
“The growth in Kenya’s banking sector can be attributed to increased use of alternative channels of distribution such agency, mobile and internet banking in deposit mobilisation and loan disbursement, branch network expansion strategy both in Kenya and in the region and the banks among other reasons said Maurice Oduor, Investment Manager.
